Bachelor Pad
9yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 89
Woodbine · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 19/10/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |