2
Hemlo Gold
6yo Horse · 9-0 · OR 95
Woodbine · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 12/09/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |