Real Savvy
4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 96
Woodbine · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |