Wagner
5yo Horse · 9-0 · OR 91
Woodbine · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
34%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |