7
Catch The Drift
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 87
Woodbine · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 26/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 13/12/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 20/08/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |