Flying Black
8yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 89
Woodbine · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 10/07/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/08/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 29/08/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 05/10/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 30/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.49 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |