11
Jim's Hope
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 92
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |