Mason's Gamble
8yo Horse · 8-9 · OR 89
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#13
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 19/10/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 14/11/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 09/08/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |