9
Posturing
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 87
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 23/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/11/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |