5
Prince Of Thieves
9yo Horse · 8-9 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2024-11-16 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength31%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 26/09/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 25/10/2024 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 16/11/2024 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 14/09/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |