Quiet Intent
8yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | -3th | +3 |
| 2026-07-27 | Fort Erie | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2024 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 13% | -0.51 |
| 20/06/2025 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 13% | -0.70 |
| 01/08/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 05/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 19/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 21/11/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 27/07/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 11% | -0.71 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |