7
Blackijo Dagrostis
7yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 81
Worcester · CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Chase · 2m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Warwick | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Hereford | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Taunton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Ludlow | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Warwick | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Hereford | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 31/05/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 17/06/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 31/12/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 18/02/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 09/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |