8

Boom Boom
8yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 80
Worcester · CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Chase · 2m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Worcester | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Stratford | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Stratford | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-05-30 | Stratford | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2025-11-19 | Warwick | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-06 | Stratford | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2024 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/09/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 18/05/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 17/06/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 13/07/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 20/08/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 06/10/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |