8

Boom Boom

8yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 80

Worcester · CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Chase · 2m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lost his form after back-to-back wins at Stratford last summer, but having eased back down in the weights there's been encouragement the last twice. Confirmed his previous effort when second of 7 over this C&D 3 weeks ago, so he could be in the mix.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Stratford 02/07/2024 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 88 · 2m213y Goo 145 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/07/2024 · OR 88 par2/073OR 883 @ Stratford 07/09/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 2m213y Goo 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2024 · OR 88 par5 @ Stratford 18/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 78 · 2m213y Goo 147 · beat its mark18/05/2025 · OR 78 par18/055OR 785 @ Stratford 17/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 77 · 2m213y Goo 153 · beat its mark17/06/2025 · OR 77 par5 @ Stratford 13/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 83 · 2m3f98y Goo 152 · beat its mark13/07/2025 · OR 83 par13/075OR 835 @ Worcester 20/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 88 · 2m110y Gd 156 · below its mark20/08/2025 · OR 88 par5 @ Stratford 06/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 88 · 2m3f98y Goo 156 · below its mark06/10/2025 · OR 88 par6/105OR 885 @ Stratford 12/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 83 · 2m3f98y GF 152 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 83 par5 @ Worcester 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 80 · 2m110y Gd 148 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 80 par4/095OR 80projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Worcester52nd2nd0
2026-07-12Stratford53rd3rd0
2026-06-16Stratford4+1
2026-05-30Stratford4+1
2025-11-19Warwick50
2025-10-06Stratford57th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0717/066/104/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength50%

Delivery trend -4.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20243rd66/10%50%+0.50
07/09/20245th33/10%20%+0.20
18/05/20253rd20/10%67%+0.67
17/06/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
13/07/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
20/08/20258th9/153%30%-0.23
06/10/20257th15/261%0%-0.61
12/07/20263rd28/10%67%+0.67
04/09/20262nd10/147%80%+0.33