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Forcetoreckonwith

7yo Mare · 11-6 · OR 92

Worcester · CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Chase · 2m 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Opened her account under Rules in handicap chase at Newcastle in March and shaped as if still in good heart at Warwick next time. After 4 months off, was struggling to hold her place in second when falling at Cartmel 25 days ago, but she could step forward from that outing.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Uttoxeter 03/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 153 · HIGHER CLASS3/0545 @ Huntingdon 07/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 95 · 2m3f137y Goo 165 · below its mark07/10/2025 · OR 95 par5 @ Uttoxeter 31/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 91 · 2m4f GS 161 · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 91 par31/105OR 915 @ Sedgefield 24/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 87 · 2m77y Sft 159 · beat its mark24/11/2025 · OR 87 par5 @ Huntingdon 22/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 88 · 2m104y GS 156 · below its mark22/12/2025 · OR 88 par22/125OR 885 @ Catterick 30/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 87 · 1m7f145y Sft 155 · below its mark30/01/2026 · OR 87 par5 @ Catterick 24/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 85 · 1m7f145y Goo 157 · beat its mark24/02/2026 · OR 85 par24/025OR 854 @ Newcastle 14/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 86 · 2m75y Goo 146 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/03/2026 · OR 86 par5 @ Warwick 23/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 93 · 2m54y Gd 161 · below its mark23/04/2026 · OR 93 par23/045OR 93projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Cartmel50
2026-04-23Warwick54th4th0
2026-03-14Newcastle41st0th+1
2026-02-24Catterick52nd2nd0
2026-01-30Catterick53rd3rd0
2025-12-22Huntingdon54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0524/1124/0223/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength47%

Delivery trend -4.2% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20255th33/10%50%+0.50
07/10/20257th12/137%14%-0.23
31/10/202510th33/10%40%+0.40
24/11/20252nd15/261%83%+0.23
22/12/20254th9/153%67%+0.14
30/01/20263rd11/486%50%-0.36
24/02/20262nd8/158%88%+0.30
14/03/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
23/04/20264th5/174%50%-0.24