Galeforcechopper
5yo Mare · 11-13 · OR 99
Worcester · CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Chase · 2m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
74%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Plumpton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Worcester | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Worcester | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Worcester | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-14 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/10/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 125/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/07/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 150/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |