5

Kally Des Bruyeres
6yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 89
Worcester · CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Chase · 2m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Hereford | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-05 | Market Rasen | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Taunton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Huntingdon | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Market Rasen | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2024 | 1st | 200/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 19/02/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 31/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 09/03/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |