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6

Onehundredneighty

6yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 82

Worcester · CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Chase · 2m 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Making only second start for this yard, ran best race after 3 months off when runner-up to a well-treated type in novice handicap hurdle at Fontwell (19f) in August. In good hands so he commands respect on chasing debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Worcester 15/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 2m GS 15615/0955 @ Worcester 22/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 2m Goo 1563 @ Bangor-on-Dee 29/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 2m145y Sft 154 · HIGHER CLASS29/1134 @ Ludlow 17/12/2025 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f169y Goo 154 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Sedgefield 26/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 2m178y GS 158 · HIGHER CLASS26/1245 @ Chepstow 13/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 82 · 2m3f100y Sft 154 · beat its mark13/02/2026 · OR 82 par5 @ Ffos Las 01/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 80 · 2m4f Hvy 150 · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 80 par1/035OR 805 @ Warwick 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 78 · 2m Gd 152 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 78 par5 @ Fontwell 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 78 · 2m3f29y Gd 153 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 78 par28/085OR 78projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Fontwell52nd2nd0
2026-05-20Warwick54th4th0
2026-03-01Ffos Las55th5th0
2026-02-13Chepstow53rd3rd0
2025-12-26Sedgefield42nd1st+1
2025-12-17Ludlow415th14th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0917/121/0328/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength84%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/09/20259th300/10%11%+0.11
22/10/202510th500/10%18%+0.18
29/11/20259th200/10%27%+0.27
17/12/202515th250/10%0%0.00
26/12/20252nd150/10%67%+0.67
13/02/20263rd150/10%80%+0.80
01/03/20265th25/10%0%0.00
20/05/20264th2/189%57%-0.32
28/08/20262nd6/594%83%-0.10