5
Little Ledgend
6yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 116
Worcester · Read Johnny Burke's Blog At CopyBet Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
72%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Worcester | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Worcester | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Market Rasen | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-02-17 | Market Rasen | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Taunton | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-12-21 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 4.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 26/10/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 23/11/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 21/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/5 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 92% | +0.00 |
| 17/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |