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5

Country Park

7yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 117

Worcester · CopyBet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Clumsy sort over hurdles but has taken well to chasing, winning second time out in 4-runner handicap chase at Bangor (2½m, good) in June. Hasn't been seen to best effect in his 2 outings since and remains of interest for in-from yard in a change of headgear (first-time blinkers).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Cheltenham 17/11/2024 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 112 · 2m87y Goo 158 · beat its mark17/11/2024 · OR 112 par17/112OR 1123 @ Ascot 18/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 121 · 2m5f141y Goo 157 · below its mark18/01/2025 · OR 121 par2 @ Ascot 15/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 121 · 2m3f58y Goo 152 · below its mark15/02/2025 · OR 121 par15/022OR 1214 @ Market Rasen 14/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 120 · 2m4f139y Gd 154 · below its mark14/10/2025 · OR 120 par4 @ Chepstow 02/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 120 · 2m7f131y Goo 162 · below its mark02/04/2026 · OR 120 par2/044OR 1204 @ Worcester 22/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 118 · 2m4f Gd 166 · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 118 par4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 26/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 117 · 2m4f72y Goo 163 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 117 par26/064OR 1174 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 118 · 2m4f Gd 166 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 118 par4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 08/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 118 · 2m4f72y Gd 168 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 118 par8/094OR 118projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Bangor-on-Dee44th6th−2
2026-07-26Uttoxeter43rd5th−2
2026-06-26Bangor-on-Dee41st3rd−2
2026-05-22Worcester44th6th−2
2026-04-02Chepstow44th6th−2
2025-12-26Sedgefield4−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1114/1026/068/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength8%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/11/20242nd17/255%67%+0.11
18/01/20252nd10/382%80%-0.02
15/02/20254th22/10%70%+0.70
14/10/20253rd4/596%33%-0.62
02/04/20264th2/189%50%-0.39
22/05/20264th11/271%63%-0.09
26/06/20261st16/583%100%+0.17
26/07/20263rd10/382%78%-0.05
08/09/20264th9/488%25%-0.63