Disco Davis
7yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 97
Worcester · CopyBet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f
#12
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-01 | Worcester | 4 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-06-11 | Worcester | 3 | −1 | ||
| 2026-05-22 | Worcester | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-03-28 | Stratford | 5 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-03-09 | Plumpton | 4 | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2024 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 31/01/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 21/02/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 08/03/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 17/10/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 44% | +0.02 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |