10
Loki's Mischief
6yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 110
Worcester · CopyBet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Ffos Las | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-05 | Ffos Las | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-04-07 | Exeter | 5 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-03-17 | Exeter | 5 | −3 | ||
| 2025-11-07 | Exeter | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-04-19 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2024 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 14/11/2024 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 08/01/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 16/01/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.17 |
| 19/04/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 07/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 05/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |