7
Merely A Detail
5yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 115
Worcester · CopyBet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fontwell | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-01 | Worcester | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-04 | Fakenham | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Stratford | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-12-21 | Fakenham | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-11-17 | Exeter | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 05/05/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 22/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 17/11/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 21/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |