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6

Palamon

6yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 115

Worcester · CopyBet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f

#8

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful off this mark at Bangor (2½m) in March. Operating a little below that level in his 3 outings summer but every chance this valuable contest has been the main aim for a top stable well known for targeting these sort of races.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength34%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Ludlow 04/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 122 · 2m4f11y Sft 166 · below its mark04/02/2026 · OR 122 par4/023OR 1223 @ Warwick 20/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 118 · 2m4f Sft 156 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 118 par4 @ Wincanton 05/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 115 · 2m4f35y Goo 166 · below its mark05/03/2026 · OR 115 par5/034OR 1154 @ Bangor-on-Dee 31/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 111 · 2m4f72y Goo 159 · beat its mark31/03/2026 · OR 111 par1 @ Aintree 09/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 111 · 1m7f176y GS 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 111 par9/041OR 1112 @ Sandown 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 121 · 2m4f15y Goo 150 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 121 par4 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 121 · 2m4f Gd 169 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 121 par26/074OR 1214 @ Worcester 19/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 120 · 2m7f Gd 166 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 120 par4 @ Cartmel 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 117 · 2m1f61y Goo 166 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 117 par29/084OR 117projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Cartmel43rd5th−2
2026-08-19Worcester45th7th−2
2026-07-26Uttoxeter45th7th−2
2026-04-25Sandown23rd3rd0
2026-04-09Aintree16th5th+1
2026-03-31Bangor-on-Dee41st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0231/0326/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength79%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/02/20266th50/10%17%+0.17
20/02/20264th14/126%25%-0.01
05/03/20265th20/10%0%0.00
31/03/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
09/04/20266th16/116%64%+0.48
25/04/20263rd11/893%33%-0.59
26/07/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
19/08/20265th22/10%20%+0.20
29/08/20263rd7/163%50%-0.13