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Youdecide

6yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 110

Worcester · CopyBet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Started the season with handicap chases wins at Stratford (21f) Fontwell (2¾m) and continued his run of good form when second of 5 over C&D (good to soft) 15 days ago. Should go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Kempton 26/12/2024 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m Goo 15826/1225 @ Huntingdon 12/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 90 · 2m4f145y Goo 163 · beat its mark12/03/2025 · OR 90 par5 @ Market Rasen 26/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 95 · 2m4f139y Gd 166 · below its mark26/03/2025 · OR 95 par26/035OR 954 @ Huntingdon 07/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 99 · 2m4f145y Sft 156 · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 99 par5 @ Warwick 31/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 99 · 2m54y Goo 168 · below its mark31/12/2025 · OR 99 par31/125OR 994 @ Kempton 02/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 97 · 3m Goo 145 · below its mark02/02/2026 · OR 97 par5 @ Stratford 25/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 94 · 2m4f205y GF 163 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 94 par25/085OR 945 @ Fontwell 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 94 · 2m5f135y Gd 175 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 94 par2 @ Worcester 10/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 110 · 2m4f Gd 149 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 110 par10/092OR 110projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Worcester22nd2nd0
2026-08-28Fontwell51st5th−3
2026-08-25Stratford51st5th−3
2026-03-27Wetherby4−2
2026-02-02Kempton44th6th−2
2025-12-31Warwick54th8th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/127/1225/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/12/20246th33/10%38%+0.38
12/03/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
26/03/20252nd5/493%86%-0.08
07/12/20254th7/282%63%-0.19
31/12/20254th15/890%40%-0.50
02/02/20264th5/287%67%-0.20
25/08/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
28/08/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
10/09/20262nd11/893%75%-0.18