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12

Katarcice

6yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 108

Worcester · CopyBet Fixed Brush Hurdle Series Final Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f

#13

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped encouragingly when placed sole start in bumpers and made the frame all 3 starts over hurdles, latest when third of 5 in novice at Southwell (2½m, good) in June. Makes his handicap bow in a deep contest but he remains low mileage.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Huntingdon 11/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m7f171y Goo 15911/0354 @ Huntingdon 04/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m7f171y Gd 1594/0444 @ Huntingdon 07/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 2 · OR - · 2m4f145y Goo 1587/0544 @ Southwell 02/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 2m4f88y Goo 1582/064projClass-projected finish: 16th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-02Southwell43rd5th−2
2026-05-07Huntingdon42nd4th−2
2026-04-04Huntingdon42nd4th−2
2026-03-11Huntingdon53rd7th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/034/047/052/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 15-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -22.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/03/20263rd10/382%75%-0.07
04/04/20262nd13/266%86%+0.20
07/05/20262nd1/195%0%-0.95
02/06/20263rd6/594%50%-0.44