6
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6yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 116
Worcester · CopyBet Fixed Brush Hurdle Series Final Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f
#4
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Worcester | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-12-26 | Kempton | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Market Rasen | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-10-15 | Worcester | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Huntingdon | 5 | 10th | 14th | −3 |
| 2025-01-02 | Huntingdon | 5 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2024 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 02/01/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 02/03/2025 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 31% | -0.51 |
| 15/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 26/12/2025 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 10/09/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |