7
Miss Kingston
5yo Mare · 11-6 · OR 116
Worcester · CopyBet Fixed Brush Hurdle Series Final Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -4.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Worcester | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Chepstow | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-01-15 | Fairyhouse | ? | 4th | 11th | −6 |
| 2025-12-13 | Fairyhouse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Thurles | ? | 3rd | 10th | −6 |
| 2025-11-08 | Gowran Park | ? | 4th | 11th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 10/05/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 08/11/2025 | 4th | 250/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 27/11/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 13/12/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 15/01/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |