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3

Regarde

9yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 117

Worcester · CopyBet Fixed Brush Hurdle Series Final Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f

#2

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful winner at 28f in chases who made the most of a good opportunity in this sphere when landing 8-runner novice over C&D (good to firm, 3/1) 77 days ago by ¾ length from Yellow Card. More needed in this deeper contest, however.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 20/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 112 · 3m Gd 160 · beat its mark20/10/2024 · OR 112 par20/104OR 1124 @ Ascot 22/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 118 · 2m7f180y Gd 166 · below its mark22/11/2024 · OR 118 par3 @ Haydock 19/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 117 · 3m4f97y Goo 163 · beat its mark19/03/2025 · OR 117 par19/033OR 1173 @ Cheltenham 16/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 120 · 3m4f21y Gd 163 · below its mark16/04/2025 · OR 120 par3 @ Cheltenham 24/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR 120 · 3m1f GS 163 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 120 par24/103OR 1202 @ Ascot 22/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 122 · 3m5f75y Goo 148 · below its mark22/11/2025 · OR 122 par3 @ Haydock 15/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 121 · 3m4f97y Goo 164 · below its mark15/04/2026 · OR 121 par15/043OR 1213 @ Aintree 15/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 121 · 3m210y Gd 161 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 121 par4 @ Worcester 10/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 117 · 2m4f Goo 156 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 117 par10/074OR 117projClass-projected finish: 1st of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Worcester41st3rd−2
2026-06-28Uttoxeter20
2026-05-15Aintree32nd3rd−1
2026-04-15Haydock32nd3rd−1
2025-11-22Ascot25th5th0
2025-10-24Cheltenham33rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1016/0415/0410/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength48%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/10/20241st9/276%100%+0.24
22/11/20243rd4/179%78%-0.01
19/03/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
16/04/20252nd13/266%92%+0.27
24/10/20253rd13/266%88%+0.22
22/11/20255th5/174%64%-0.10
15/04/20262nd17/255%90%+0.35
15/05/20262nd8/158%83%+0.25
10/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16