15
So Proud
5yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 104
Worcester · CopyBet Fixed Brush Hurdle Series Final Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Fontwell | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-28 | Worcester | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-05-09 | Warwick | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-01-15 | Newcastle | 4 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-05-10 | Haydock | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 15/01/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 64% | -0.19 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 06/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |