Whinney Hill
6yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 117
Worcester · CopyBet Fixed Brush Hurdle Series Final Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f
#15
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Worcester | 4 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-02-08 | Navan | ? | −6 | ||
| 2026-01-20 | Down Royal | ? | −6 | ||
| 2025-11-04 | Fairyhouse | ? | 4th | 11th | −6 |
| 2025-04-29 | Punchestown | 1 | +1 | ||
| 2025-02-02 | Leopardstown | 1 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2024 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 16/11/2024 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 26/12/2024 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 02/02/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/11/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |