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Ade Boy

5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 108

Worcester · FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

11-length winner of a Navan bumper for A. Slattery on debut. Improved from hurdle/stable debut effort when third in maiden at Huntingdon (2m) in March, before failing to give his running at Market Rasen (21f). Worth another chance on return with tongue strap added.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Navan 20/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m7f165y Yie 16420/09C?4 @ Wetherby 06/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 2m Sft 1546/1244 @ Huntingdon 11/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m7f171y Goo 16011/0344 @ Market Rasen 05/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 2m4f139y Goo 1615/044projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-05Market Rasen44th4th0
2026-03-11Huntingdon43rd3rd0
2025-12-06Wetherby46th6th0
2025-09-20Navan?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/096/1211/035/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%

Delivery trend -16.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/09/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
06/12/20256th9/488%62%-0.27
11/03/20263rd7/282%86%+0.04
05/04/20264th7/282%25%-0.57