2
Black Eddy
5yo Gelding · 11-4
Worcester · FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength63%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Market Rasen | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Ascot | 1 | 15th | 11th | +3 |
| 2025-10-12 | Chepstow | 2 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -55.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 19/12/2025 | 15th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 20% | -0.71 |