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Premier Tenor

4yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 109

Worcester · FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f

#1

Rank

Odds

11/10

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Landed 13f minor event sole start on the Flat in France in November. Promise amidst inexperience in a pair of 2m maiden hurdles here this season, again racing freely but keeping on for second when last seen in June. Remains capable of better as he goes up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Les Sables 11/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y GF 14111/10C54 @ Worcester 22/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 2m Gd 15222/0544 @ Worcester 11/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m Goo 15311/064projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11Worcester42nd2nd0
2026-05-22Worcester43rd3rd0
2025-10-11Les Sables?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1022/0511/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%

Delivery trend -14.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/10/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
22/05/20263rd5/493%78%-0.16
11/06/20262nd3/184%88%+0.03