9

Zerouali

4yo Gelding · 11-1

Worcester · FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held only start in bumpers and fared no better sent hurdling when tenth of 13 in novice at Uttoxeter (2m) in July. Looks to face a tough ask now tried over further.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Uttoxeter 07/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 1527/0754 @ Uttoxeter 24/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 15224/074projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Uttoxeter410th10th0
2026-07-07Uttoxeter56th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength33%

Delivery trend +8.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/07/20266th150/10%17%+0.17
24/07/202610th300/10%25%+0.25