Gold For Alec
6yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 117
Worcester · PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Haydock | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-16 | Hereford | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chepstow | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Huntingdon | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-12 | Hereford | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-11 | Warwick | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2024 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |
| 23/01/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/02/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |
| 24/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 17/11/2025 | 4th | 18/5 | 81% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 11/12/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 13% | -0.30 |
| 02/04/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 16/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |