7
I'm A Starman
13yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 111
Worcester · PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Worcester | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-05-22 | Worcester | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Hereford | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Warwick | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Exeter | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Exeter | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 07/07/2025 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 33% | -0.60 |
| 26/09/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 11/10/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 07/11/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 19/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 16/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |