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4

Secret Trix

9yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 118

Worcester · PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

67%

Place Prob

57%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Consistent sort. Third in a better event at Haydock before knocking on the door with back-to-back seconds at Uttoxeter/Perth. Not seen to best effect under a 10-lb conditional at Bangor last time. Likely to be thereabouts with Sean Bowen returning, though may not get his ideal pace scenario again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Taunton 11/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 127 · 2m3f1y Goo 165 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/12/2025 · OR 127 par11/123OR 1273 @ Haydock 20/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 125 · 3m58y Goo 163 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 125 par3 @ Sandown 03/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 123 · 2m3f178y Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/01/2026 · OR 123 par3/013OR 1234 @ Market Rasen 01/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 120 · 2m7f16y Sft 165 · below its mark01/02/2026 · OR 120 par2 @ Haydock 04/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 120 · 3m58y Goo 148 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 120 par4/042OR 1202 @ Uttoxeter 16/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 120 · 2m7f70y Gd 150 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 120 par4 @ Uttoxeter 04/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 120 · 2m7f70y Gd 168 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 120 par4/064OR 1204 @ Perth 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 120 · 2m7f207y Gd 168 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 120 par3 @ Bangor-on-Dee 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 120 · 2m7f32y Gd 162 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 120 par4/093OR 120projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Bangor-on-Dee34th3rd+1
2026-07-12Perth42nd2nd0
2026-06-04Uttoxeter42nd2nd0
2026-05-16Uttoxeter23rd1st+2
2026-04-04Haydock23rd1st+2
2026-02-01Market Rasen42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/121/024/064/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%

Delivery trend -7.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/20258th40/10%30%+0.30
20/12/20259th14/126%0%-0.26
03/01/20267th50/10%33%+0.33
01/02/20262nd12/137%83%+0.46
04/04/20263rd9/153%75%+0.22
16/05/20263rd3/184%71%-0.13
04/06/20262nd6/492%83%-0.09
12/07/20262nd11/486%83%-0.02
04/09/20264th5/287%25%-0.62