That's Nice
6yo Mare · 11-10 · OR 116
Worcester · PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Worcester | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Uttoxeter | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-06 | Hereford | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-02-27 | Newbury | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2024 | 4th | 8/11 | 96% | 0% | -0.96 |
| 20/01/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 17/11/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 13/12/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |