10

Granny B

6yo Mare · 10-2 · OR 71

Worcester · FBC Manby Bowdler Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m

#9

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden whose best handicap form came when placing in back-to-back races at Uttoxeter last May. Hasn't shaped as though ready to capitalise on plummeting mark this season, though, having again been let down by her jumping last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 21/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 80 · 2m145y Goo 149 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/06/2025 · OR 80 par21/064OR 805 @ Uttoxeter 16/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 80 · 1m7f168y Gd 151 · below its mark16/07/2025 · OR 80 par5 @ Stratford 18/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 79 · 2m70y GF 148 · beat its mark18/08/2025 · OR 79 par18/085OR 795 @ Stratford 06/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 78 · 2m70y Goo 148 · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 78 par5 @ Stratford 18/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 76 · 2m70y Goo 145 · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 76 par18/105OR 765 @ Hereford 06/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 76 · 2m53y Gd 142 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Warwick 03/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 75 · 2m Goo 143 · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 75 par3/065OR 755 @ Uttoxeter 15/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 73 · 1m7f168y Gd 145 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 71 · 1m7f168y Gd 142 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 71 par26/075OR 71projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Uttoxeter57th7th0
2026-07-15Uttoxeter57th7th0
2026-06-03Warwick55th5th0
2026-05-08Market Rasen50
2026-04-06Hereford53rd3rd0
2025-10-18Stratford56th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/066/093/0626/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength46%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/20253rd5/174%71%-0.02
16/07/20259th16/116%38%+0.23
18/08/20255th33/10%60%+0.60
06/09/20258th18/15%30%+0.25
18/10/20256th12/137%50%+0.13
06/04/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62
03/06/20265th33/10%20%+0.20
15/07/20267th18/15%45%+0.40
26/07/20267th25/10%40%+0.40