5
Mojo Ego
6yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 99
Worcester · FBC Manby Bowdler Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
75%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength54%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Stratford | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Worcester | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Market Rasen | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Worcester | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Cartmel | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Aintree | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 08/11/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 26/12/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 30% | -0.46 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 27/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 58% | -0.05 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 55% | -0.11 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |