Network Rgb
4yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 102
Worcester · FBC Manby Bowdler Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Worcester | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Lingfield | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-12-04 | Wincanton | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-12 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +23.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |
| 04/12/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/12/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/07/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 22% | -0.49 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |