2
T Or Coffey
5yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 102
Worcester · FBC Manby Bowdler Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength57%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Stratford | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Worcester | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-26 | Southwell | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-03 | Southwell | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-07-01 | Stratford | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 24/04/2025 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.17 |
| 10/05/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 01/07/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 03/11/2025 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 56% | -0.39 |
| 26/11/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 55% | -0.28 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |