14:45 · Curragh

Darley Fillies Stakes (Group 3)

7fGoing TBCClass 12YO onlyTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 95
4/1
Damsel In Distress silks

Tim Porter

2yo Filly · 9-2

Minzaal - Shenoya (Zoffany)

Colin KeaneDaniel McLoughlin
5143
6.0Going 8.0

Much sharper than first time up when scoring at Roscommon (7.5f) in June and progressed again when making the frame in listed race at Cork (7f) and when length third of 10 to Sea Of Rain in Flame of Tara Stakes at this track in August. Return to 7f shouldn't inconvenience and is one to consider.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/0530/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/0614/08 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a14/0829/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲4
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 43%31/05Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%30/06Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 63%14/08Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 78%29/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +46.4%Ahead 4/4
1
Value2
OR 90
13/2
Alpine Wedding silks

Patrick Hale

2yo Filly · 9-2

Sioux Nation - Wedding Dress (Tamayuz)

Billy Lee60%1/5P Twomey
53541
5.0Going 7.0

Stepped up on previous efforts when winning 7f maiden at Cork 18 days ago by 3¼ lengths from Haven, asserting final 1f and once more shaping as if a step up to 1m will suit. Sets the standard on that performance but vulnerable to improvers kept to 7f.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/0619/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/08 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲6
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 56%4/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%19/07Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%14/08Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%1/09Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.8%Ahead 3/4
2
Market Fav3
7/4
Curracloe silks

Qatar Racing Limited

2yo Filly · 9-2

Baaeed - Sassy Little Lila (Artie Schiller)

Ben Coen70%1/1J P Murtagh
1
10.0

Baaeed filly who created a very good impression when winning 16-runner maiden at Gowran 26 days ago by 3¼ lengths from Snowing, leading over 1f out and staying on strongly. Open to significant improvement and likely to take plenty of beating with her yard flying at present.

Class Advantage

1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/09
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%1/09
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +100.0%Ahead 1/1
8
5
11/4
Value Pending silks

Miss A H Marshall

2yo Filly · 9-2

Harry Angel - Everkyllachy (Kyllachy)

J M Sheridan60%1/1J P O'Brien60%
1
8.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Harry Angel filly who made a winning debut in a 6f maiden at Dundalk 9 days ago, beating Thumama Glory by 1½ lengths. The step up to 7f should be within range on pedigree and she is open to improvement, but this much different test asks a significantly tougher question.

Class Advantage

18/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/09
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%18/09
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +63.2%Ahead 1/1
6
4
OR 85
50/1
Lady Patrona silks

Lady Patrona Partnership

2yo Filly · 9-2

Cotai Glory - Presiding Officer (Beat Hollow)

Keithen Kennedy1/2Mrs J Harrington80%
244137
4.0Going 8.0

Confirmed previous promise when winning a weak 6f maiden at Sligo in August. Took a big step forward when third in 10-runner nursery at Navan (6f) next time but found the step up to listed company too much last time and faces another stiff task here.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0424/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par5/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par12/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲6
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 83%27/04Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 57%24/06Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%5/09Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 33%12/09
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.9%Ahead 3/4
7
6
OR 92
20/1
Tosca No Candis silks

Scuderia Scolari & Giselle De Aguiar

2yo Filly · 9-2

Blue Point - Honeymead (Pivotal)

Donagh O'Connor1/4Robson Aguiar
55517
3.0

Barrier trial winner who contested a listed race/Group 3 before capitalising on a drop in grade when landing a Dundalk maiden (6f) in August. Shaped like a non-stayer back up in grade and tackling 1m last time. Improvement required.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a18/064/07 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a23/07 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par29/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 56%18/06Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%4/07Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 20%23/07Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%15/08Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%29/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.1%Ahead 4/4
4
7
6/1
Film Set silks

Westerberg,Mrs J Magnier,M Tabor,D Smith

2yo Filly · 9-2

Siyouni - History (Galileo)

R L Moore70%Course spec.A P O'Brien
52
4.0

Siyouni filly who stepped up on debut when 8½ lengths second of 15 to Timeless Tale in maiden at Naas last month. Will be suited by the step up to 7f though needs to take a big step forward if she's to feature.

Class Advantage

8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/0723/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%8/07Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 93%23/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.8%Ahead 2/2
5
8
OR 79
50/1
Fine Line silks

Patrick John O'Brien

2yo Filly · 9-2

Sioux Nation - Shelter (Le Havre)

Robbie Colgan0/1D Hogan
007442
5.0

Fared much better than previously when 2¼ lengths second of 15 to Star Of State in valuable sales race over an extended 6f at this course last time. More needed now back up in trip and tackling a group race for the first time.

Class Advantage

9/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0728/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par4/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par13/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲6
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 25%9/07Pos 10 · SP 400/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 400/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 45%5/08Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%4/09Pos 2 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 93%13/09
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.1%Ahead 2/4