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19:30 · Kempton

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6fStandardClass 63YO plusPOLYTRACKHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
11
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 50
2/1
Vitalline silks

Mrs Michelle Anne Crook

Vitalline

8yo Gelding · 9-4

Due Diligence - Vitta's Touch (Touch Gold)

Josephine Gordon60%4/31Kieran Burke60%
199262
6.0
Blinkers1st Tongue Strap +2

Second of 8 in a handicap at Wolverhampton 12 days ago, his best effort since winning in June. Returns to this C&D where twice successful and blinkers are back on. Entitled to go well back down to 6f.

Class Advantage

26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par26/065/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par10/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par18/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%26/06Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 11%4/08Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 44%10/09Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 86%18/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.0%Ahead 3/4
1
3
OR 55
7/1
Big Bard silks

Mr A Watson & Mr B Malyon

Big Bard

8yo Gelding · 9-9

Poet's Voice - Big Moza (Pastoral Pursuits)

Paddy Bradley1/7G & J Moore60%
190665
4.0
Cheek pieces

Has 2 C&D wins to name with the last coming in January. Hasn't been in top form since but there was a lot more to like over inadequate 5f last time and he's well worth considering back up to 6f and down in 0-55 company.

Class Advantage

28/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/01 · mark par28/012/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/03 · mark par8/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par10/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%28/01Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%8/04Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%18/08Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 43%10/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.5%Ahead 3/4
10
2
OR 51
20/1
Southbank silks

Alwens & Digweeds

Southbank

5yo Gelding · 9-5

Acclamation - Ramone (Marju)

Charles Bishop1/4C Gordon
426230
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

Won over C&D before and is better on all-weather so should come on for recent return from 11 weeks off which took place on turf in first-time cheekpieces. Headgear now removed and back on all-weather. Not best drawn but is one to keep an eye on from this mark.

Class Advantage

25/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/02 · mark par25/0230/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par22/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par1/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par13/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%25/02Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 58%22/05Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%1/07Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%13/09
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.0%Ahead 1/4
7
4
OR 52
8/1
Respectable Jack silks

The Sixstablemates

Respectable Jack

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Eqtidaar - Respectable (Champs Elysees)

R Havlin60%M Crawley90%
325549
4.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Runner-up over C&D in February but not kicked on since. Bit better than result last 2 starts but still others preferred.

Class Advantage

19/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/01 · mark par19/014/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/02 · mark par8/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/02 · mark par6/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par25/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par25/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 71%19/01Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 33%8/02Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%27/08Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 27%25/09
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.8%Ahead 1/4
8
7
OR 52
11/2
Rovinia silks

Lauren Adams Christopher Petts

Rovinia

4yo Filly · 9-6

Legends Of War - Windlass (Teofilo)

Joe Leavy60%R A Teal
222135
6.0

Resumed winning ways at Lingfield over 7f last month and was unlucky when third at Chepstow 30 days ago, badly hampered. Only ran moderately when fifth of 10 at Wolverhampton 12 days ago, though, and now drops back in trip.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/0622/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par18/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 88%27/06Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 91%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%5/08Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%31/08Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 56%18/09
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.9%Ahead 1/4
3
6
OR 54
12/1
Big Time Rascal silks

Vallance Racing

Big Time Rascal

5yo Gelding · 9-8

Blue Point - Guerriere (Invincible Spirit)

Benoit D L Sayette60%1/5S Hodgson60%
415140
4.0Class ↓4
Tongue strap

Won on stable debut in August and ran well from a higher mark later that month but was only fourteenth of 17 in a handicap at Bath 17 days ago when slowly into stride. Lightly raced on all-weather so could bounce back dropped in grade.

Class Advantage

9/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par9/0630/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par23/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par13/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength85%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 57%9/06Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 60%7/07Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%23/08Pos 14 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 14 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 19%13/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.1%Ahead 2/4
12
5
OR 49
33/1
Ten Club silks

P J King & Son

Ten Club

5yo Gelding · 9-3

Dandy Man - Snow Scene (Singspiel)

Finley Marsh70%1/11A Wintle
075F88
3.0Class ↓4

Has lost way this year and needs return to all-weather to spark a revival.

Class Advantage

6/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/12 · mark par6/1227/12 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par3/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/02 · mark par1/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 18%6/12Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%3/02Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%2/09Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%12/09
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.7%Ahead 2/4
6
11
OR 52
11/4
May Encounter silks

Coombs, Candy & Poland

May Encounter

4yo Filly · 9-6

Mayson - Night Affair (Bold Edge)

Nicola Currie60%0/6H Candy
556474
4.0Class ↓4
Hood

Fourth of 8 in a Bath handicap 18 days ago, running respectably though her slow-starting issues are becoming ingrained. Plenty more required back on all-weather.

Class Advantage

7/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par7/053/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 43%7/05Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%4/07Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%13/08Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%12/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.5%Ahead 1/4
2
8
OR 55
33/1
Beelzebub silks

Threes Company

Beelzebub

6yo Gelding · 9-9

Dark Angel - Hay Chewed (Camacho)

Billy Loughnane80%0/2A W Carroll60%
701269
3.0
Tongue strap

Won at Windsor in June on first run for new trainer, emphatically ending a long losing run. Best excused latest run after awkward start and he's likely still one to be positive about given the yard he's not long been with. Tongue strap reapplied and boasts top jockey booking.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par5/0415/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%5/04Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%22/06Pos 2 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 80%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%13/08Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 27%14/09
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.9%Ahead 1/4
9
9
OR 53
33/1
King Cherry silks

Mr B Piper And Partner

King Cherry

3yo Gelding · 9-5

King Of Change - Nefetari (Kodiac)

S M Levey70%0/1S C Williams90%
676409
2.0
1st Hood +1Tongue strap

Fourth of 11 in a handicap at Lingfield over 7f in August but poor efforts both starts since. Hood now applied.

Class Advantage

24/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/075/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par20/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par18/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%24/07Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%20/08Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 18%15/09Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 11%18/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.8%Ahead 1/4
4
10
OR 53
33/1
Kyoto silks

Moir & Murphy

Kyoto

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Inns Of Court - Hanalei Memories (Hard Spun)

Rob Hornby0/2M Murphy60%
234558
3.0
Cheek pieces

Showed promise when fifth of 11 at Southwell in May, staying on well, but not kicked on since and often starts awkwardly.

Class Advantage

14/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/103/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 83%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 75%14/10Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%20/04Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%10/06Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 22%12/09
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.4%Ahead 2/4
5
12
OR 55
50/1
My Dad Tom silks

Mr Richard Hannon

My Dad Tom

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Profitable - Punakha (Acclamation)

Ben Pollard60%−7lbR Hannon80%
666640
2.0
Cheek pieces

Suffered an over-reach when last of 4 in June then ran no sort of race when eleventh of 12 in a handicap over 7f at Lingfield in August, dropping away as if all might not have been well. Best watched with inexperienced rider taking over.

Class Advantage

8/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/12 · mark par8/1230/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/12 · mark par16/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/03 · mark par18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%8/12Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 44%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%16/03Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%27/06Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 9%13/08
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.7%Ahead 3/4