13:33 · Nottingham

Watch Racing TV Handicap

2m 1f 208yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 59
8/1
Noble Grace silks

Crawford-smith Family

5yo Mare · 10-0

Yeats - She's Noble (Karinga Bay)

Rob Hornby1/2W Greatrex
474137
6.0

Won at Ffos Las over 1½m in July and, though only seventh of 12 in a handicap at Bath upped to 1¾m 18 days ago, she actually shaped as if needing even more of a stamina test and now goes beyond 2m for the first time.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0427/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par12/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par13/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength99%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 208y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 57%27/04Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 40%14/06Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%12/08Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 45%13/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.7%Ahead 3/4
5
Value2
OR 59
10/1
Pacific Storm silks

Jayar Investments

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Zarak - Pacifique (Montjeu)

Jack Dace70%−5lbD Menuisier80%
575
4.0
1st Visor +2

Yet to show much in 3 starts but now makes handicap debut with a significant step up in trip likely to suit given his stamina-rich pedigree. Also wears first-time visor for stable now in much better form than when he was last seen so could be worth a play.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0519/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/0627/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength84%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 208y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%14/05Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%19/06Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%27/08
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.8%Ahead 1/3
8
3
OR 47
7/1
Corsican Caper silks

Mr G R Smith

6yo Gelding · 9-2

Fast Company - Kanshe (Dalakhani)

S D Bowen60%1/3K Frost
669435
5.0Going 8.0

Won a handicap hurdle in May then was third at Bath in June back on the Flat, before well-beaten fifth of 12 at Chester 20 days ago in a higher grade on return from 3 months off. Probably vulnerable to younger legs but is a proven stayer and comes here fresher than most.

Class Advantage

13/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/039/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par24/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par13/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par11/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength92%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 208y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%13/03Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%2/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 71%13/06Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 64%11/09
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.8%Ahead 2/4
4
4
OR 51
7/1
Regally Blonde silks

Case Racing Partnership & Anita J Lush

7yo Mare · 9-6

Mukhadram - Jolie Blonde (Sir Percy)

Jonny Peate0/1B I Case60%
634514
5.0Class ↓5
Blinkers

Won at 33/1 over 2m on all-weather at Lingfield in August but ran badly when fourth of 6 at Ripon 30 days ago. Now back at Nottingham where she has won before but her form is inconsistent.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par1/064/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par17/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 208y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%1/06Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%17/07Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%17/08Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%1/09
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.2%Ahead 1/4
2
Market Fav5
OR 57
9/4
Urban Warrior silks

Mr W Enticknap, Mr B Ralph And Partner

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Night Of Thunder - Khawlah (Cape Cross)

Marco Ghiani60%1/2S C Williams70%
443315
6.0
Cheek pieces

Made all to get off the mark in handicap at Yarmouth over 1¾m in first-time cheekpieces in August. Didn't improve any further for the step up to 2m when fifth of 8 at Kempton last time, but not without hope if getting his way out in front.

Class Advantage

12/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/01 · mark par12/0120/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 208y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%12/01Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%10/06Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%5/08Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 43%4/09
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.3%Ahead 1/4
9
6
OR 54
6/1
Sir Griflet silks

Mr Paul Goonan

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Camelot - Alta Anna (Anabaa)

Callum Shepherd70%0/1Dylan Cunha
004336
4.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Maiden who came third over 2m at Lingfield in September but hasn't been in the same form either start since, including in a change of headgear last time (now removed). Needs to bounce back but stable has been amongst the winners recently.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/0730/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par11/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par22/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 208y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%25/07Pos 12 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 12 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%8/08Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 82%11/09Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 38%22/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.2%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 56
8/1
Al's River silks

Saoirse Racing Vi

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Alkumait - Pechora (Sea The Stars)

Daniel Muscutt70%0/1James Horton60%
364835
4.0
Cheek pieces

Modest form at best to date and didn't really see out 16.5f when fifth of 6 at Wolverhampton last time so he's hard to be too positive about.

Class Advantage

6/11 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/118/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par29/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par4/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par18/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength76%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 208y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 85%6/11Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%29/04Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%29/07Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%18/09
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.8%Ahead 1/4
3
8
OR 52
8/1
Damzon silks

Derek & Cheryl Holder

7yo Mare · 9-7

Jack Hobbs - Court Princess (Mtoto)

Myla Coppins60%−5lbA W Carroll
251435
4.0

Seen to maximum effect when winning by a wide margin over 13f at Chelmsford in January but failed to confirm that form in 3 subsequent runs. Returns from a 217-day absence facing a step back up in trip and having a rare outing on turf so she's best watched.

Class Advantage

6/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/12 · mark par6/1222/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/12 · mark par8/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/01 · mark par16/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/01 · mark par7/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/02 · mark par26/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/02 · mark par26/02projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 208y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 90%6/12Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%8/01Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%7/02Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%26/02
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.2%Ahead 2/4
10
9
OR 45
50/1
Stopherandgo silks

Mr Thomas Gaden

9yo Mare · 9-0

Aizavoski - Bonjour Bella (Gold Well)

Kaiya Fraser70%D Flood
07469
3.0

Not won over hurdles since 2023 and tailed off all starts this year so is impossible to fancy.

Class Advantage

9/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par9/038/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par22/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength79%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 208y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%9/03Pos 12 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 14%4/08Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 17%7/09Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%22/09
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.0%Ahead 3/4
11
10
OR 45
33/1
Lady Lauren silks

Lilly Hall Syndicates

3yo Filly · 8-5

New Bay - Queenhope (Kendargent)

Gina Mangan60%0/4E De Giles
50658V
2.0

Still a maiden after 14 starts and continues to show little as she goes up in trip. Upped even further today.

Class Advantage

29/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par29/0419/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 208y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%29/04Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%16/06Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%6/08Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 22%2/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.0%Ahead 1/4
12
12
OR 45
25/1
N'ion silks

Mrs Julia Rayment

3yo Gelding · 8-5

Le Brivido - Ponte Sanangelo (Authorized)

K T O'Neill60%Ian Williams
60860V
2.0

Shown next to nothing to date and any minor hopes will be pinned on this increase in trip (some stamina in pedigree).

Class Advantage

23/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0316/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 208y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%23/03Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%23/05Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%4/08Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%26/08
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.7%Ahead 2/4
7
11
OR 47
33/1
Assured silks

G1 Racing Club Ltd

5yo Mare · 9-2

Nathaniel - Garanciere (Anabaa)

Taryn Langley60%0/2−5lbT R Gretton60%
576055
3.0
Cheek pieces

Winless from 10 starts and finished well held when last of 5 here over 2m in August. Hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage

30/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par30/099/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/10 · mark par4/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par22/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par11/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 208y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 64%30/09Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%4/05Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%15/07Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%11/08
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.2%Ahead 1/4