16:35 · Fontwell

KEP Communications Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

2m 3f 29yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 76
5/2
No Mean Feat silks

P C F Racing Ltd

7yo Gelding · 10-9

Milan - Steel Lady (Gamut)

James Davies70%1/4S Hodgson60%
4P4641
7.0
Cheek pieces

After 5 months off (had a breathing operation), took advantage of his much-reduced mark when winning 9-runner handicap hurdle here (2¼m) 11 days ago by ½ length from Winston's Oath. Merits consideration now that he's up and running.

Class Advantage

24/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par24/0926/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par28/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par22/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par6/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par22/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 29y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%24/09Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 70%28/03Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%6/05Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%22/09
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-660/100
4
2
OR 80
3/1
Winston's Oath silks

Mr T Parry

4yo Gelding · 10-11

Churchill - Honor Bound (Authorized)

J J Burke60%James Owen60%
363972
5.0Class ↓2
Visor

Hadn't shown much on the Flat for this yard, but switched to a visor for return to hurdling he bounced back to form when ½-length second of 9 to No Mean Feat in handicap here (2¼m) 11 days ago. Could be in the mix.

Class Advantage

30/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par30/0629/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par22/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 29y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%30/06Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%6/08Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%1/09Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 88%22/09
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
88%1-474/100
2
4
OR 92
3/1
County Champs silks

The Les & Jan Gilbert Racing Legacy

7yo Gelding · 11-11

Champs Elysees - Rossa Parks (Anshan)

Freddie Gordon60%C Gordon
2822PF
6.0

Placed 4 times from 5 starts (all around 3m) in Ireland last year for Brian M. McMahon. Pulled up on seasonal/stable debut, but was in the process of leaving that effort behind when falling 2 out at this course (2¾m) last month, in front and looking the likely winner. Can make amends.

Class Advantage

10/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/12 · mark par10/1214/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par7/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par6/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/10 · mark par11/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/12 · mark par11/12projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 29y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 81%10/12Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 87%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 94%7/06Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 93%6/10Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 90%11/12
Projected finish3rd of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%1-567/100
7
3
OR 75
11/2
Ghost Jury silks

4racing Owners Club

7yo Mare · 10-8

Jukebox Jury - Revelling (Lil's Boy)

S Bowen80%0/1K Woollacott
125263
5.0

Point winner in May and left behind her first effort back hurdling when rallying for second at Newton Abbot (2¾m) in July. Soon bounced back from a lesser run when third of 8 at the same course 26 days ago, though very much had run of the race.

Class Advantage

24/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par24/0621/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/10 · mark par2/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par3/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 29y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 57%24/06Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%2/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 29%19/08Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%7/09
Projected finish4th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
63%3-952/100
1
5
OR 93
14/1
Lord Virginia silks

Martin Keighley Racing Partnership 17

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Walzertakt - Virginia Bella (Laveron)

Freddie Keighley60%0/3−5lbM Keighley
943755
4.0

Made the frame twice from 3 starts in bumpers and some encouragement in novice/maiden hurdles early this year. However, after 7 months off he struggled sent handicapping when fifth of 6 at Worcester (2m) in September. This longer trip promises to suit, though.

Class Advantage

22/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/1027/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a12/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 29y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 27%22/10Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 82%12/01Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%19/02Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%4/09
Projected finish5th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-929/100
3
6
OR 88
16/1
One For Rian silks

Mr P O'reilly

6yo Gelding · 11-7

Workforce - Ballyoscar (Oscar)

C O'Farrell60%0/3N P Mulholland
270P9
2.0
Hood

Runner-up only start in Irish points but little impact in maiden/novice hurdles. However, he remains capable of better as he heads into handicaps after 6 months off, so he's one to look out for especially if the market speaks in his favour.

Class Advantage

26/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/1013/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/022/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/04projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength45%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 29y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%26/10Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 15%13/02Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 20%2/04
Projected finish6th of 9
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
38%1-652/100
9
7
OR 74
33/1
Callero silks

Mrs Arnold & Partner

4yo Gelding · 10-5

Waldgeist - Viva Italia (Most Improved)

Caoilin Quinn60%0/2G & J Moore
P675
2.0Class ↓2

Well held both completed starts in junior hurdles and offered little in a trio of outings on the Flat. Showed a bit more in handicap hurdle at Plumpton (2m) in May, though ultimately finished last of 5. Step up in trip may help at least.

Class Advantage

21/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/1214/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a2/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par26/05projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 29y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%21/12Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%11/02Pos 9 · SP 500/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 500/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%2/03Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%26/05
Projected finish7th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%8-982/100
8
8
OR 73
20/1
Freddie Fleetfoot silks

Mr A Garland & Mr R Napper

8yo Gelding · 10-6

Blue Bresil - Eardisland (Kayf Tara)

Jack Stenhouse60%−7lbC J Gray
48622P
3.0

Remains a maiden but made the frame at Wincanton (2m) in November. Raced 3 times in points in the spring (runner-up first occasion). Has work to do if he's to get off the mark here.

Class Advantage

1/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/02 · mark par1/0211/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par22/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/04 · mark par20/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/11 · mark par11/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/12 · mark par15/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/01 · mark par15/01projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 29y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 10%1/02Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 4 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 4 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 63%22/04Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 42%11/12Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 58%15/01
Projected finish8th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
13%5-967/100
6
9
OR 78
25/1
Blue Siam silks

The Summer Club

4yo Filly · 10-9

Blue Point - Golden Temps (Manduro)

Ellis Collier60%0/2−5lbS Hosie60%
543474
4.0
Cheek pieces

Long-standing maiden across both codes (stays 1¾m on Flat). Hasn't kicked on from her third on handicap hurdle debut at Stratford (2m) in May, shaping like a non-stayer upped to 3¼m when fourth of 6 at Newton Abbot last time. Others still preferred.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par30/0512/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par21/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par23/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 29y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%30/05Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%15/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%23/08Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 40%27/08
Projected finish9th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%4-960/100