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17:30 · Ayr

Book Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup Ladies Day Handicap

1m 2fGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap14 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
4
OR 7410/3
Unchartedterritory silks

Barbara & Alick Richmond

Unchartedterritory

3yo Gelding · 9-7

New Bay - Anna's Rock (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Lewis Edmunds60%D O'Meara60%
544731
7.0

Much improved when opening account in 9f Carlisle handicap on soft 2 months ago, channelling his energy more efficiently in a well-run race, though hanging left late on. From a smart family that revels in the mud and there is more to come from him.

Class Advantage

22/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/0718/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par3/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par9/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%22/07Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%26/04Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%3/06Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%9/06
Projected finish1st of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
Market Fav3
OR 752/1
Tiger silks

Gonzales And Michael Watt

Tiger

4yo Gelding · 10-7

Wooded - Edya (Makfi)

Ryan Kavanagh80%−3lbIan Williams
346421
7.0Class ↓3

Raised his game appreciably after a 7-week break to open his style in this country emphatically in 10.3f Chester handicap on Sunday, forging clear. Good shout under a penalty if in the same sort of form.

Class Advantage

25/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par25/1028/11 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/11 · mark par9/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par5/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par14/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par2/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par2/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength87%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 83%25/10Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%9/05Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 80%14/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%2/08
Projected finish2nd of 13
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
6
OR 7511/4
Dryburgh silks

Seven Seas

Dryburgh

3yo Gelding · 9-8

New Bay - Jo Jo Air (Scat Daddy)

S H James80%Oli Rix
373282
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
Hood

Strong-travelling maiden who has placed on all 3 handicap starts over this trip, looking a shade unfortunate when going as close as he has at Doncaster 2 months ago, and he's entitled to give another good account despite a 4 lb rise.

Class Advantage

22/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/10 · mark par22/1018/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/02 · mark par29/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par8/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par14/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%22/10Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 71%29/03Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 46%14/05Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%5/06
Projected finish3rd of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
11
Top Pick1
OR 689/2
Phantom Shadow silks

Mr J D Wright & Mrs S Wright

Phantom Shadow

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Toronado - Shoyd (Showcasing)

Jason Hart1/1Ewan Whillans
823521
8.0Going 8.0

Made a winning start for new yard in C&D handicap on firm ground 3 weeks ago, coming clear under hands-and-heels ride. Up 10 lb in a deeper race but suspect he can go well again.

Class Advantage

11/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par11/0413/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par26/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par2/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%11/04Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 0%26/05Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%2/07Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%20/07
Projected finish4th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
5
OR 759/4
Mr Lincoln silks

Gibson, Cross & Laurenson

Mr Lincoln

6yo Gelding · 10-2

Dark Angel - The Miniver Rose (High Chaparral)

A Mullen70%0/2I Jardine
288623
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

Has been in good form without winning, second over C&D (Pol Roger third) in June and not beaten far again over hurdles at Cartmel last time. Solid place claims once more.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par15/054/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par7/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par19/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%15/05Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 73%7/06Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%4/07Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 86%18/07
Projected finish5th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
2
OR 693/1
Pol Roger silks

Mr J Sagar

Pol Roger

6yo Gelding · 9-10

Churchill - Passegiata (Mastercraftsman)

Sean Kirrane60%0/1M Dods60%
088234
6.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Long time since his last win but is down to a handy mark and ran well at Pontefract and over C&D in June. Ground was possibly too firm for him here last time.

Class Advantage

4/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/11 · mark par4/1121/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/11 · mark par10/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par2/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par19/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 13 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 8%4/11Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 42%10/04Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 78%19/06Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 25%13/07
Projected finish6th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
8
OR 733/1
Faeberon silks

Mr Abdulla Al Mansoori

Faeberon

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Sea The Stars - Angel Fairy (Dark Angel)

D C Costello60%S & E Crisford60%
74831
6.0
Cheek pieces

Took another step forward to get off the mark in first-time cheekpieces in 9.5f Wolverhampton handicap 6 weeks ago, again racing freely but still seeing things out well. Up just 2 lb and should have more to offer.

Class Advantage

4/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/092/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par28/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 7 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 25%4/09Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 50%2/10Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 13%28/03Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%16/05Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%28/06
Projected finish7th of 13
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
14
9
OR 668/1
Ibn Altheeb silks

Let's Be Lucky Racing 39

Ibn Altheeb

3yo Gelding · 8-13

Alkumait - Mixora (Mizzen Mast)

Jack Nicholls60%0/1−3lbI Jardine60%
176034
4.0
Blinkers

In first-time cheekpieces when opening account at Wolverhampton (8.6f) in October for David Loughnane. Yet to really get going for new yard, although found stamina stretched over 11f at Hamilton last time. This looks tough.

Class Advantage

4/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par4/1020/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/10 · mark par12/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par22/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%4/10Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%12/04Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 78%9/06Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%11/07
Projected finish8th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
7
OR 708/1
Geo silks

Summerstorm Bloodstock Ltd

Geo

4yo Filly · 9-11

Mehmas - River Rock (Fastnet Rock)

P Mulrennan60%0/3J S Goldie60%
624223
7.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Tough and consistent and ran well again when third of 5 over C&D 12 days ago. Getting no help from the assessor because of her good form and cheekpieces now go back on.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par31/0517/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par24/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par25/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par27/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength79%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%31/05Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%24/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 75%17/07Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%27/07
Projected finish9th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
12
13
OR 67150/1
Path To Peace silks

Mrs K Oliver And Miss K Scott

Path To Peace

3yo Filly · 9-0

War Of Will - Escampette (Smart Strike)

Greg Fairley70%K Scott90%
906
2.0
1st Blinkers +31st Tongue Strap +2

Well held in maidens up to 1½m in Ireland. Makes handicap debut for new yard with new headgear fitted and needs plenty of improvement.

Class Advantage

10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/054/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/061/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/07projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 11%10/05Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 18%4/06Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 55%1/07
Projected finish10th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
11
OR 6212/1
Mayor Of Maghera silks

Mr R Michael Smith

Mayor Of Maghera

4yo Gelding · 9-3

Kessaar - Oh Simple Thing (Compton Place)

J P Sullivan60%R M Smith60%
434176
4.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Doubled tally in first-time cheekpieces at Musselburgh (9f) in June. That race worked out well but he's run poorly twice here over 1m subsequently. First go over this trip.

Class Advantage

17/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/035/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 28%17/03Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%19/06Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%20/07Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%27/07
Projected finish11th of 13
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
10
OR 7033/1
Draupnir silks

Silent B Partnership

Draupnir

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Golden Horn - Avongrove (Tiger Hill)

Billy Garritty60%1/7M & D Easterby
735370
3.0Class ↓3

Won at Thirsk in September and started the season in good form at Thirsk/Hamilton. Not so good at York the last twice but could bounce back over this trip.

Class Advantage

1/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/10 · mark par1/1018/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par15/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par4/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par27/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 45%1/10Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 18/5 | Expected: 81%Pos 5 · SP 18/5 | Actual: 56%15/05Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%27/06Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 36%25/07
Projected finish12th of 13
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
12
OR 6050/1
Natzor silks

Bolton Mill Racing Iii

Natzor

6yo Gelding · 9-1

Almanzor - Natty (Fastnet Rock)

Barry McHugh60%Lizzie Quinlan60%
004908
2.0
Cheek pieces

Winless since 2024 and has lost his way, well beaten again back on turf at Redcar last week.

Class Advantage

13/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/12 · mark par13/125/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/03 · mark par31/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/03 · mark par1/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par29/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 9%13/12Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%31/03Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%27/06Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%29/07
Projected finish13th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend