19:00 · Ayr

Book The Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup Handicap

7f 50yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
OR 696/1
Circle Of Trust silks

Mrs R G Hillen & Partner

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Dark Angel - Reality Of Dreams (Gio Ponti)

Lewis Edmunds60%K A Ryan60%
520921
8.0
Blinkers

6/1, career best when winning 8-runner C&D handicap (good to soft) 49 days ago by ¾ length from Milford Grange, always holding on. Should remain competitive off 3 lb higher.

Class Advantage

27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/0816/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par25/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par17/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%27/08Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 18%25/04Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%5/06Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%20/06
Projected finish1st of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
2
OR 672/1
Black Storm silks

Ursa Major Racing Ltd

5yo Gelding · 9-13

Ten Sovereigns - Active Approach (New Approach)

Greg Fairley70%0/1K Scott70%
044253
6.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3

Went close at Musselburgh (7f, good to firm) in June and even better form when third over 7f at Carlisle (firm) last month. Blinkered first time. Capable of winning off this mark.

Class Advantage

28/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/09 · mark par28/0929/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par6/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par9/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 10%28/09Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%18/05Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%19/06Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 78%9/07
Projected finish2nd of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Market Fav5
OR 678/15
Runninsonofagun silks

Mr R Nichol

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Inns Of Court - High Society Lady (Society Rock)

J Garritty60%T Davidson
835132
8.0Going 8.0

In good form over 1m here in blinkers last month, winning on the first occasion and showing even better form in defeat twice since. This front-runner leaves the impression he should be as effective back at 7f. Blinkers off. Player.

Class Advantage

29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par29/058/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%29/05Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 64%15/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%20/07Pos 2 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 88%27/07
Projected finish3rd of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
12
3
OR 5820/1
Yaaser silks

Mr David Smith & Jim Goldie

8yo Gelding · 9-4

Lope De Vega - Urjuwaan (Cape Cross)

Lauren Young0/8−5lbJ S Goldie
759533
6.0Class ↓3

Has mostly struggled since his 7f Newcastle win in December but latest length third at Hamilton (8.3f, good to firm) was his best effort of the season. This 4-time course scorer is well treated if able to build on that.

Class Advantage

27/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par27/056/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%27/05Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%22/06Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%20/07Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 78%1/08
Projected finish4th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
4
OR 686/1
Ubetterseethis silks

Brennan & Craig Lidster Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Ubettabelieveit - Sightseeing (New Approach)

S H James80%0/3Craig Lidster
723304
5.0Going 10.0Class ↓3

6/1, creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Chester (7.6f, soft) 57 days ago. Not discounted.

Class Advantage

6/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/10 · mark par6/1013/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/10 · mark par20/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/10 · mark par15/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/04 · mark par23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/06projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%6/10Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%20/10Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 19 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 19 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 5%23/05Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%12/06
Projected finish5th of 13
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
9
OR 6610/3
Phoenix Of Dreams silks

Coral Racing Club

5yo Gelding · 9-12

Phoenix Of Spain - Dreaming Of Rubies (Oasis Dream)

D C Costello60%J & S Quinn
531473
5.0Going 8.0
Hood

Latest win at Newcastle (7f) in March. 10/3, creditable third of 7 in handicap at Southwell (7f) in April. Off since. Turf winner earlier in career. Jason Hart is on the yard's other runner.

Class Advantage

10/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/02 · mark par10/0220/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/02 · mark par12/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par27/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par20/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par28/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par28/04projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%10/02Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%12/03Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 70%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 54%20/04Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%28/04
Projected finish6th of 13
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
11
6
OR 656/1
Supreme Clarets silks

Mr A Tattersall & Partner

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Supremacy - Ms Sasha Malia (Verglas)

Warren Fentiman60%0/2R A Fahey60%
749224
6.0

Still a maiden but went close in 7f handicaps at Musselburgh and Carlisle in June/July. Not helped by an awkward start when a below-form fourth at Chester since.

Class Advantage

12/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par12/0426/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par21/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%12/04Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 27%21/05Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 89%9/07Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%25/07
Projected finish7th of 13
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
11
OR 685/1
Stoic Poet silks

Mr Dave Stone

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Far Above - Wine And Roses (Cappella Sansevero)

Mikey Sheehy60%I Jardine60%
358427
5.0
1st Hood +1

Maiden. Runner-up in 7f Haydock handicap on soft in May and freshened up since a lesser run at Musselburgh (6f, good to firm) in early June.

Class Advantage

7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/0712/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par27/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par1/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par21/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/06projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%7/07Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%27/09Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 91%21/05Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%5/06
Projected finish8th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
7
OR 6811/1
Highfield Viking silks

Trainers House Enterprises Ltd

6yo Gelding · 10-0

Aclaim - Pure Illusion (Danehill)

Jason Hart4/24J & S Quinn60%
736509
3.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

C&D winner last August. Below par when last seen at the start of the summer so his hopes are pinned on an 8-week break sparking a revival.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/1018/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par4/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/11 · mark par23/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par14/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par14/06projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 70%10/10Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 62%4/11Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 56%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 57%23/05Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%14/06
Projected finish9th of 13
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
8
OR 6725/1
Milford Grange silks

Mr J N Blackburn & Mr T Cottier

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Nando Parrado - Desert Mission (Shamardal)

Billy Garritty60%0/6M & D Easterby
722268
5.0Going 8.0

Runner-up for the third start in succession when finding only Circle of Trust too strong over C&D (good to soft) in June. Not in the same on quicker ground at York twice since but a bounce back wouldn't surprise.

Class Advantage

7/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/0416/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%7/04Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%16/05Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 86%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%10/07Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 36%25/07
Projected finish10th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
10
OR 643/1
Sanafi Zabeel silks

Johnnie Delta Racing

5yo Gelding · 9-10

Intello - Full Rose (Aqlaam)

P Mulrennan60%1/2J S Goldie
319334
6.0Going 8.0

Winner at Hamilton in May. Creditable fourth of 10 there (8.3f, good to firm) 7 days ago, leading until approaching the final furlong. This first attempt over 7f looks worth a go.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par15/0527/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par19/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par16/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 78%15/05Pos 1 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 1 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 11%19/06Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%16/07Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%1/08
Projected finish11th of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
13
13
OR 526/1
Tap Dancer silks

Ayr Racecourse Club

4yo Filly · 8-12

Territories - Hazy Dancer (Oasis Dream)

A Mullen70%J S Goldie60%
746737
4.0Class ↓3

Eleven runs since last win in 2024. Seventh of 9 in handicap at this course (6f, good to firm, 6/1) 12 days ago. Back up in trip.

Class Advantage

5/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par5/0520/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%5/05Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 38%19/06Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%13/07Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%27/07
Projected finish12th of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
12
OR 7066/1
Yy Spirit silks

Wee Dude Racing & Susan Corbett

3yo Filly · 9-10

Invincible Spirit - Jolyne (Makfi)

Lexie Clarkson−7lbS Corbett
340108
3.0

Ended her time with Ed Bethell with a Newcastle novice win in December but well held in 2 handicaps for current yard in the spring. Something to prove back from 3 months off.

Class Advantage

19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/0828/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/12 · mark par16/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par1/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par1/05projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%19/08Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%23/10Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%16/04Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%1/05
Projected finish13th of 13
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend