17:14 · Churchill Downs

Race 2 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Value2
OR 84
12/1
War Munny silks

Kuntz, Mark D And Jamison, Michael P

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Munnings - War Baby (Lemon Drop Kid)

Emmanuel Esquivel1/1Jamie Grubbs60%
865213
7.0

Class Advantage

14/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/02 · mark par14/028/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par27/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/03 · mark par25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par17/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%14/02Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%27/03Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%17/05Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%26/06
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.8%Ahead 2/4
3
Top Pick1
OR 90
10/1
Prince Of Light silks

Top Notch Racing

3yo Gelding · 8-8

City Of Light - Luzmimi Princess (Malibu Moon)

Jaime TorresJamie Grubbs60%
399911
7.0Going 7.0

Class Advantage

6/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par6/0328/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par21/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par26/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par23/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par11/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 67%6/03Pos 9 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 9 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 20%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 27%21/06Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 11%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%23/08Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%11/09
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.6%Ahead 3/4
4
5
OR 94
9/2
Antrax silks

Cm Thoroughbreds

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Authentic - Im Cruising Dixie (Dixie Union)

Axel Concepcion0/1Carlos Munoz
472565
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

11/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par11/0426/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par10/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%11/04Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 80%10/07Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%28/08Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%7/09
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.2%Ahead 1/4
6
6
OR 95
6/1
Kirin silks

Morplay Racing Llc And Munoz, Adela

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Lord Nelson - Wealth Effect (Curlin)

Luis Fuenmayor0/1−7lbCarlos Munoz
183560
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

4/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/094/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par7/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/02 · mark par20/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par1/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par30/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%4/09Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 78%7/02Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%1/08Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%30/08
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.5%Ahead 2/4
8
7
OR 91
7/2
Il Cavallino silks

Jd Thoroughbreds Llc, Davis, Joey Keith And Cd Racing Llc

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Into Mischief - Daisy (Blame)

D E SheehyChris Hartman
261439
5.0

Class Advantage

8/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par8/0428/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par21/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par12/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par11/09 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 90%8/04Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%31/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%12/07Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%11/09
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.4%Ahead 2/4
5
Market Fav4
OR 89
6/5
Justifreak silks

Buck Pond Farm, Inc , Kenneally, Eric And Kenneally, Eddie

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Justify - The Schvagen (Matty G)

Ben Curtis1/2Eddie Kenneally
088871
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

30/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/10 · mark par30/1016/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par8/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%30/10Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 13%8/06Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 14%19/06Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%7/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.4%Ahead 1/4
7
3
OR 81
15/1
Skynet silks

Roddina Barrett

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Yoshida - Sky Shaft (Mineshaft)

Abel CedilloRoddina Barrett
211774
6.0

Class Advantage

20/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/0716/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par9/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par10/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par13/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par22/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 90%20/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%9/05Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%13/07Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 63%22/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.7%Ahead 2/4
1
8
OR 83
20/1
Colonel Compton silks

Gary House

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Munnings - Roman Lassie (Liam's Map)

Edgar Morales60%Gary House60%
361210
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

21/10 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/10 · mark par21/108/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/01 · mark par20/02 · C9 · finish vs mark above20/02 · mark par8/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par5/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%21/10Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%20/02Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%5/07Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%31/07
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.7%Ahead 3/4