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16:15 · Fort Erie

Race 1 - Claiming

1m 70y3YO plusDIRT5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 72
9/5
Clarayouthebest silks

Joy Elkins

Clarayouthebest

5yo Mare · 8-12

Ami's Holiday - Henry's Collection (Henrythenavigator)

Da Sean Gaskin60%0/1Joseph Humber60%
551943
5.0Class ↓3Going 7.0

Class Advantage

12/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par12/0821/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par25/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/09 · mark par21/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/10 · mark par15/11 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par21/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%12/08Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%25/09Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%15/11Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%21/06
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.8%Ahead 2/4
4
3
OR 64
7/2
Little Fire silks

Smith, Kenneth R And Radcliffe Racing Stable

Little Fire

7yo Mare · 8-12

Ami's Holiday - Kavika (Niigon)

Steve Jadoo60%0/3Kenneth Smith
465235
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

21/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/10 · mark par21/1012/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par14/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 4 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 50%21/10Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%27/07Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%24/08Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%14/09
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +53.2%Ahead 4/4
3
2
OR 60
3/1
Little Iris silks

Pan Am Racing

Little Iris

4yo Filly · 8-12

Pass The Buck - Soft Cheese (Quality Road)

Juan Crawford60%1/2Steven Cathcart60%
128154
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

7/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par7/0421/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par21/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par3/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%7/04Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 86%11/05Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 0%3/08Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%24/08
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.3%Ahead 1/4
1
4
OR 68
5/2
Ladies Rum silks

Omar Dixon

Ladies Rum

5yo Mare · 8-12

Old Forester - Clarkstoncandy (Tethra)

Christoff Douglas60%−5lbRonald Sadler
148397
3.0

Class Advantage

19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/0625/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par11/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%19/06Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%20/08Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%10/09
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.0%Ahead 2/4
2
5
OR 61
8/1
Sarah's Dancer silks

Robin Osborne

Sarah's Dancer

6yo Mare · 8-12

Ami's Holiday - Sarahs Rahy Dancer (Rahy)

Pierre Mailhot60%George Newland
454477
3.0Going 7.0

Class Advantage

11/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/093/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/10 · mark par13/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/10 · mark par7/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par10/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%11/09Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 40%13/10Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%20/07Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%10/08
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 4-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -47.4%Ahead 0/4